The Story Behind the Forecast
To understand the forecast, we must look at the external environment and the company's internal health. This section breaks down the macro, sector, and fundamental factors driving the stock's performance.
The 30-Day Forecast
Published On: 30-June-2025
This section provides the core outlook, interactive price projections, and key scenarios. Click on a scenario below to explore its details and potential triggers.
Core Thesis
Cautiously Bullish with a High Volatility Warning
Bear Case
15% Probability
Base Case
60% Probability
Bull Case
25% Probability
Projected 30-Day Price Range
Potential Triggers:
Decoding the Technicals
Fundamentals determine long-term value, but technicals reveal short-term sentiment and momentum. This section visualizes the key price levels and indicator signals guiding traders.
Key Price Levels & Trend
₹1,112
Critical Support
₹1,141
Current Area
₹1,170
Key Resistance
₹1,200
Psychological
The stock is in a confirmed rising trend, currently consolidating within a "Bullish Flag" pattern, suggesting potential for upward continuation.
RSI (14)
~66.0
Bullish Momentum
MACD (12, 26)
Mixed Signal
Consolidating
ADX (14)
~57.3
Very Strong Trend
Actionable Strategy
Based on the analysis, here are tailored strategies for different investor profiles and key factors to monitor over the next 30 days.
For the Short-Term Trader
Approach: Cautiously Bullish. Look to buy on dips near strong support.
Entry Zone: Consider entry in the ₹1,120 - ₹1,130 range.
Stop-Loss: Place a strict stop-loss just below ₹1,110.
Price Targets: Initial target at ₹1,170, secondary target near ₹1,200.
Shorting: High-risk. Only consider on a confirmed daily close below ₹1,112 on high volume.
For the Positional Investor
Stance: The current price offers a limited margin of safety due to high valuation.
Existing Investors: 'Hold'. The long-term transformation story remains intact.
New Investors: Exercise patience. Wait for a deeper price correction towards ₹1,050 - ₹1,080 for a better entry point, or a confirmed breakout above ₹1,250 backed by strong fundamentals.
Key Monitorables for the Next 30 Days
- Nifty 50 trend vs. its support levels.
- North Indian tea & global coffee prices.
- Management commentary on Q1 outlook.
- News on Capital Foods/Organic India integration.
- Clusters of analyst downgrades or upgrades.
- Trading volume on breakouts/breakdowns.