TCS - Interactive 30-Day Forecast

TCS | 30-Day Forecast

The 30-Day Forecast

Published On: 30-June-2025

This section provides the core outlook, interactive price projections, and key scenarios. Click on a scenario below to explore its details and potential triggers.

Core Thesis

Neutral with a Cautious Bullish Bias

Bear Case

10% Probability

Base Case

65% Probability

Bull Case

25% Probability

Projected 30-Day Price Range

Potential Triggers:

The Narrative Behind the Forecast

To understand the forecast, we must look at the external environment and the company's internal health. This section breaks down the macro, sector, and fundamental factors driving the stock's performance.

Decoding the Technicals

Fundamentals determine long-term value, but technicals reveal short-term sentiment and momentum. This section visualizes the key price levels and indicator signals guiding traders.

Key Price Levels & Pattern

₹3,230

Critical Support

₹3,456

200-Day MA

₹3,670

Key Resistance

The stock is attempting to break out of a medium-term falling trend by forming a bullish "Inverse Head & Shoulders" pattern, suggesting a potential bottom is in place.

RSI (14)

~54.9

Neutral

MACD (12, 26)

Positive Crossover

Buy Signal

Moving Averages

Mixed Signals

Consolidating

Actionable Strategy

Based on the analysis, here are tailored strategies for different investor profiles and key factors to monitor over the next 30 days.

For the Short-Term Trader

Approach: Patiently Bullish. Look to buy on a confirmed breakout or a dip to support.

Entry Zone: On a dip towards ₹3,300 - ₹3,350 or on a breakout above ₹3,600.

Stop-Loss: Place a strict stop-loss just below ₹3,230.

Price Targets: Initial target at ₹3,800, secondary target near ₹3,900.

For the Positional Investor

Stance: Compelling case for accumulation at current levels.

Action: The consolidation phase represents an opportunity to 'Buy on Dips' or build a position for a 12-24 month horizon.

Rationale: Reasonable valuation for an industry leader, strong AI-driven long-term growth story, and technicals suggesting a potential bottom is forming.

Key Monitorables for the Next 30 Days

  • Q1 FY26 Earnings Report (July 10, 2025)
  • Global macro data (US/EU inflation, central bank commentary)
  • Technical break above ₹3,670 or below ₹3,230
  • Major GenAI deal announcements
  • INR/USD exchange rate movements
  • News on the new 'Bench Policy' and employee sentiment