Global oil benchmarks posted fresh gains on July 25, 2025, buoyed by encouraging signals from ongoing US–EU trade negotiations and a surprise drop in Russian gasoline exports. Analysts say the combination of these developments could push crude prices higher as supply concerns mount.
Price Highlights: Brent and WTI Climb
Brent crude futures traded around $69.35 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) stood close to $66.18. The price rally was supported by a larger-than-expected decline in US crude inventories, pointing to robust demand during the summer driving season.
Impact of Russian Export Cuts
Russia’s decision to cut gasoline exports due to domestic needs and refinery maintenance is adding new pressure to the global fuel supply chain. This reduction is expected to hit European markets in particular, where reliance on Russian shipments remains significant.
Trade Negotiations Provide a Positive Backdrop
Traders are also watching progress in US–EU trade discussions. A breakthrough deal could boost transatlantic energy flows and overall economic activity, creating further upward momentum for oil prices.
- Brent crude prices hover around $69.35 per barrel.
- WTI maintains gains near $66.18.
- US crude inventories show larger-than-expected drops.
- Russian gasoline export cuts heighten supply concerns.
- Global market optimism linked to US–EU trade talks.
Market Outlook and Volatility Risks
Experts caution that while the current upward trend is supported by strong fundamentals, oil markets could still face short-term volatility. Factors such as OPEC+ production adjustments, global economic shifts, and ongoing geopolitical tensions are expected to play a significant role.
According to Reuters, traders are closely tracking upcoming reports from the International Energy Agency (IEA) and OPEC to gauge future price direction.
What’s Next for Oil Prices?
If Russian supply constraints continue, Brent crude could test the $70 threshold, with WTI likely to approach the $67–$68 range. Strong summer demand, especially for gasoline and jet fuel, is expected to keep markets tight through August.